Preparing For The Solar Boom Ahead

Get ready for the boom and find an investor

 

The upcoming change in ROC rates should boost 2013 sales until April 2013 and help distributors of trade components in the UK PV market.

Through our finance arm we see a significant pipeline of hundreds of megawatts of large-scale, ground-mounted applications ready to go in 2013

We at Mercantile Investors see a  rush of developers looking to beat the cuts to the RO rate is expected to lead to a significant surge in demand for the lowest priced off-the-shelf components.

WHAT IS THE RO?

The RO is currently the main financial mechanism by which the Government incentivises the deployment of large-scale renewable electricity generation. Support is granted for 20 years, which balances the need to provide investors with long-term certainty with the need to keep costs to consumers to a minimum.

Since the RO’s introduction in 2002, it has succeeded in supporting the deployment of increasing amounts of renewables generation from 3.1GW in 2002 to 13GW in the first quarter of 2012 and increasing the level of renewable electricity in the UK from 1.8% in 2002 to 9.4% in 2011. It is currently worth around £2 billion a year in support to the renewable electricity industry.

In April 2010, the end date of the RO was extended from 2027 to 2037 for new projects to provide long-term certainty for investors and to ensure continued deployment of renewables to meet the UK’s 2020 target and beyond.

HOW DOES THE RO WORK?

The RO places a mandatory requirement on licensed UK electricity suppliers to source a specified and annually increasing proportion of electricity they supply to customers from eligible renewable sources or pay a penalty.

The scheme is administered by Ofgem who issue Renewables Obligation Certificates (ROCs) to electricity generators in relation to the amount of eligible renewable electricity they generate. Generators sell their ROCs to suppliers or traders which allows them to receive a premium in addition to the wholesale electricity price.

Suppliers present ROCs to Ofgem to demonstrate their compliance with the obligation. Where they do not present sufficient ROCs, suppliers have to pay a penalty known as the buy-out price. This is set at £40.71 per ROC for 2012/13 (linked to RPI). The money collected by Ofgem in the buy-out fund is recycled on a pro-rata basis to suppliers who presented ROCs. Suppliers that do not present ROCs pay into the buy-out fund at the buy-out price, but do not receive any portion of the recycled fund.

We have seen huge PV growth in 2011 and 2012 which was fuelled byfeed-in-tariffs. The installer will now focus after Christmas on getting into the megawatt-scale ground-mount installations as installers seek to beat the end-of-March cut off deadline.

We are advising installers to team up with an EPC and look for a funding partner as the UK’s solar support mechanisms (FiT & RO) have makes the investors see the UK as top-10 global PV market

It is almost like investing in government bonds and for this reason (despite a mess from DECC) the UK has a lower financial risk than other PV markets. As a result, many PV component suppliers are now planning long-term strategies for the UK.

I am frankly negative about a continued decrease in PV prices but will be happy to be proved wrong as it will drive sales against high price increases for energy.

If so I look forward to eating humble pie and will apologise to all the top brass at DECC as they will hit or beat targets

We decided after seeing the developments at Ecobuild that we must form an alliance with the right manufacturer to supply a good share of the 4,000 certified PV installers in the UK and act as a manufacturers agent. Thus better pricing and better service will drive growth for ground-mount  and next year will see a later drive in roof mounted systems. Too many middlemen will fail as the investors are clever with money and will not be paying too much  for systems installed

If you need an EPC or funder then get in touch with Mercantile Investors or Ecobods as fast as you can

The investors are only off for a couple of days and now is the time to get aboard

Get ready for business and get into large scale PV… DO IT NOW!!

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